Research

Decision-ready trade intelligence, without academic overhead.

Actionable Insight Reports turn public trade and input-output data into compact management screens: what is exposed, why it matters, what the charts actually say, and which client-specific diligence step should come next.

Published Actionable Insight Reports

A compact library for executives, procurement, finance, and strategy teams.

01 / Signal

Start with the business decision.

Each page states the management question before showing the data.

02 / Evidence

Use metrics and charts as screens.

Visuals are designed to prioritize where diligence is needed, not to overclaim.

03 / Action

Translate into client-specific facts.

The next step is always an HTS, supplier, BOM, contract, or operating review.

AIR 003AI compute intelligence
2026-06-21

AI Compute Hardware Trade Exposure

A public-data screen of AI chips, compute systems, semiconductor inputs, fabrication equipment, supplier platforms, and downstream U.S. IO footprint.

Decision supported

Separate chip, compute-unit, wafer-input, fabrication-equipment, and test-equipment risks before making sourcing or export-control claims.

$164.54B2024 U.S. platform imports
$10.40BU.S. China-origin imports
6.3%Measured China import share
AIR 002Critical minerals intelligence
2026-05-29

Rare Earth GVC Transition

A structural screen of China-origin rare-earth focus flows, downstream value-added exposure, substitution candidates, and market-transition constraints.

Decision supported

Distinguish direct import exposure from downstream manufacturing footprint and the bottlenecks that constrain supplier switching.

$636.5MU.S. China-origin focus imports
$1.01BU.S. IO gross-output footprint
1.58xPrice-pressure multiplier
AIR 001Strategic trade intelligence
2026-05-01

U.S.-China Strategic Tariff Exposure Radar

Where 2024-2026 Section 301 actions change U.S. sourcing, cash flow, and supplier resilience.

Decision supported

Identify tariff-sensitive product nodes and decide whether to pursue price protection, supplier qualification, or continued monitoring.

$449.6B2024 U.S. imports from China baseline
52Strategic HS6 proxy products
$8.8BGross scheduled duty-base screen

Visualization preview

Charts are presented as decision evidence, not decorative exhibits.

The research page shows a small sample of the report visuals so clients can understand the analytical object before opening a PDF.

AI compute hardware import exposure by functionAI compute exposure

Where the import value sits.

Separates compute systems, ICs, semicap equipment, and other hardware functions before discussing China exposure.

Physical AI downstream footprint chartPhysical AI footprint

Which U.S. sectors feel the exposure.

Turns direct China-origin hardware flows into a production-network incidence screen for downstream sectors.

Rare earth substitution candidate chartSubstitution screen

Visible alternatives are not approved suppliers.

Ranks trade-platform visibility while keeping the limitation clear: capacity, qualification, and customer approval remain client-specific.

Method discipline

Short enough for a client meeting; disciplined enough for technical review.

Scope

Clear product boundary

Each AIR states what the HS6 proxy captures and what it cannot identify.

Claims

Verified headline numbers

Published claims are tied back to the report data and claim ledgers.

Limits

Interpretation boundaries

Screening estimates are kept separate from legal liability, revenue forecasts, or approved supplier claims.

Next step

Client-specific translation

Every report ends with the operational data needed to convert the screen into a decision.

Research agenda

Upcoming work stays close to practical advisory decisions.

The public library will continue to emphasize network exposure, sourcing constraints, trade-policy change, and financing pressure.

Supply networks

Hidden dependencies

Where concentration appears below the first tier of procurement.

Trade finance

Working-capital pressure

How payment terms and financing conditions affect supplier resilience.

Monitoring

Signals of network stress

How to interpret shifts in lead times, supplier behavior, and policy signals.